We employ directly more than 2000 people in ChinaUnemployment benefits are almost nonexistentTurkey in wolves BRGM is has been that of feathersBut there are still nearly 150 bodies of notation in the worldOf course everything will depend on the newsBut it is the price to pay when there is highendAMF wishes today to a lowering of the threshold to 30Remains a last Nugget financial servicesMore than 55 of new online shoppers are women8 per cent of GDP in 2007 has risen to 68In France, photovoltaics is fire all wood. The first French 4.2 MW solar plant built in Vinon-sur-Verdon in the Var. A new hangar of the airport of the puppet will be equipped with 5.5 m2 of solar panels. The roof of the new lycée Gallieni in Toulouse or 1,700 m2 of a building to House Paul Jaboulet, owner of one of the greatest wines of the côtes du Rhône. And announcements of this kind have multiplied in recent months whether buildings or public facilities or private, attesting to the popularity of the France for photovoltaic technology. Yet, at the same time, the world's leading producer of solar cells, the German Q-Cells, revised downward its forecast of sales of 1.35 to 1,225 billion euros this year. And it is worse for 2009. Initial forecasts projected sales of EUR 2.25 billion. They are now understood between 1.75 and 1,225 billion euros...
Restructuring of the sector
In fact, these different elements must be presented in perspective.
Q - Cells built on more than 65 in 2009 turnover growth continues to build on an increase in its sales in the second half of 2009. Currently, it was more a blow of cyclical cold that a real crisis of photovoltaic technology.
Short term, it is indeed voluntarist policies (per kilowatt hour redemption price plus "fare network", tax benefits, grants...) which are decisive for the application. Sector therefore poorly digested down from 9 to 11 of the redemption of the kilowatt hour price announced by the Germany for 2009 (against an average decline of 5 the previous years) and the ceiling of the volumes of photovoltaic electricity subsidized, decided by the Spain, one of the locomotives markets globally. Conversely, the extension of the commitment of the France to redeem, until in 2011-2012, electricity photovoltaic technology at a price premium of 32 euro cents per kilowatt hour, or 57 cents when integration in the frame, there is good news. And intentions loaned to the next President of the United States to make the "green business" one of the linchpins of its anti-crisis plan is another, even if only to make a reality. It is, however, true that the sector will not escape restructuring. The persistence of a high pressure of demand, in recent years, sparked a series of investments in additional capacity that will come into production in 2009-2010. Overproduction was inevitable, even in the absence of any weakening demand. This will cause a decrease in the price of photovoltaic systems of the order of 20 according to the experts. It must therefore be to expect an integration of the different links in the chain, or even the disappearance of a number of actors.
Profitable without assistance
"But this overcapacity will be temporary, predicted Jean-Michel Barrouffe, head of the Department of renewable energy to the Ademe." American and French demands will take over for the market. "A view shared by Ignace of Prest, partner at Schneider Electric Ventures. "It will likely be more selectivity in the choice of projects funded, but on the merits, the solar photovoltaic remains a sector where the uncertainties on the profitability are, in France, particularly low." For a project given. "It is therefore particularly legible for financial projects, said Ignace Prest. In addition, cost reductions expected modules should offset the vagaries of interest rates and maintain a good pull of the projects.
And ultimately photovoltaic will be profitable without any assistance. Wael Amin, of the Union of the renewable energy where he is responsible for Soler, the French group of manufacturers of solar photovoltaic, gives even a date: "the photovoltaic kilowatt-hour prices joins the power of the network prior to 2015 in southern Europe and Northern Europe 2020 with the decline in the price of photovoltaic equipment." This trend decline is the result of technological developments (see below) and the expansion of the size of the market which allows larger-scale production units. "Once years ago, the standard factory produced 50 to 100 MW per year, explains Jean-Michel Barrouffe. Today, the new investment plan 1,000 MW per year. And in parallel, efforts to reduce the cost are made at all stages of production process.
